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Aldo Spanjer, Commodity Strategist of BNP Paribas: It is estimated that the average price of Brent crude oil will be 71 USD/barrel in 2026.WTO: The global trade in goods grew moderately in the fourth quarter of 2024. On December 9, local time, the latest issue of "Barometer of Trade in Goods" released by WTO showed that the prosperity index of global trade in goods was 102.7, which was higher than the benchmark of 100. According to the analysis of WTO, global trade in goods continued to grow moderately in the fourth quarter of 2024, but the trade prospect in 2025 is still uncertain and may be affected by potential trade policy changes. (CCTV)US Department of the Interior: The oil and gas lease right of Alaska Arctic National Wildlife Refuge will be sold on January 9, 2025.

The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Qatar condemned Israel's occupation of the buffer zone bordering Syria, calling it a "dangerous development".At least two people were killed in an explosion in a warehouse in Russia. On December 9, local time, an explosion occurred in a fireworks warehouse in Pushkino, Moscow, Russia. At present, two people have been found dead at the scene. (CCTV)Turkish President: The Turkish-Syrian border crossing will be reopened for Syrian refugees to return home voluntarily and safely. On December 9, local time, Turkish President Erdogan said after the cabinet meeting that Turkey is willing to do its utmost to support Syria's reconstruction and will reopen the Turkish-Syrian border crossing, Yay Ilada, which was closed in 2013, to facilitate more Syrian refugees to return home safely and voluntarily. Erdogan stressed that Turkey will never tolerate new terrorist threats on its borders. He pointed out that neither the PKK nor the extremist organization "Islamic State" terrorists are the targets of Turkey's dialogue, but the enemies. Erdogan called for the protection of Syria's territorial integrity and said that Turkey will continue to work for regional peace and stability. (CCTV)

European natural gas futures fell by about 3%. At the end of the European market on Monday (December 9), ICE British natural gas futures fell by 3.51% to 111.800 pence/kcal. TTF benchmark Dutch natural gas futures fell 2.96% to 45.075 Euro/MWh. According to Bloomberg data, at 21:33 Beijing time, it instantly dived from above 45 euros to 35.400 euros, and instantly rebounded to around 45 euros. ICE EU carbon emissions trading license (futures price) fell 2.62% to 66.52 euros/ton.Analysts such as Max Layton of Citigroup predicted in the global commodity outlook in 2025 that there would be a "substantial oversupply" of 1.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter of 2025. The average price of Brent crude oil may be $60/barrel in 2025, and it may be the same level in 2026.Shanghai Tin closed up more than 2.1%, international copper, Shanghai copper, Shanghai zinc and stainless steel also rose more than 1.5% at most, international copper closed up 1.19%, Shanghai copper closed up 1.04%, Shanghai aluminum closed up 0.52%, Shanghai zinc closed up 1.55%, Shanghai lead closed up 0.48%, Shanghai nickel closed up 0.49% and Shanghai Tin closed up. Alumina closed up 0.25% at night. Stainless steel night plate closed up 1.24%.